Auxerre vs Nice Prediction

Ligue 1 25/26 · Sun 10 May, 21:00
Auxerre
21 Full time
Nice
Auxerre 2–1 Nice

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (46%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 46%
Draw 25%
Away 29%

💡 Auxerre are favourites — about 46 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 51.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 51.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1446 v 1430 Auxerre rated higher
Form Index 1.2 v 0.8 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1446 vs 1430).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Auxerre
Form Index
Auxerre
Goal expectation
Auxerre
Home advantage
Auxerre

Green = favours Auxerre · Blue = favours Nice. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AuxerreDDDLW1.2 ppg
NiceLDDDD0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Auxerre1446
Nice1430
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model43% · 32% · 25%
Power Rating49% · 20% · 31%
Machine-learning62% · 13% · 25%

AI match preview

Auxerre hosts Nice in a Ligue 1 clash where the home side holds a slight edge with a 46% chance of victory, though a draw remains a plausible outcome at 25%. The model projects a closely contested match with expected goals favoring Auxerre 1.28 to 0.92, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1. With only a 38% probability for over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance both teams score, this game could be tight and competitive; remember these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.28 – 0.92

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 38%

Under 62%

Both teams to score

Yes 45%

No 55%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Auxerre 2–1 Nice
Aug 2025 Nice 3–1 Auxerre