Le Havre vs Marseille Prediction

Ligue 1 25/26 · Sun 10 May, 21:00
Le Havre
01 Full time
Marseille
Le Havre 0–1 Marseille

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (44%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 30%
Draw 26%
Away 44%

💡 Marseille have a slight edge — leaning Marseille, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 48.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 48.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1442 v 1516 Marseille rated higher
Form Index 1 v 0.8 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Marseille is the stronger side on Power Rating (1516 vs 1442).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Marseille
Form Index
Le Havre
Goal expectation
Le Havre
Home advantage
Le Havre

Green = favours Le Havre · Blue = favours Marseille. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Le HavreDDDDD1 ppg
MarseilleLWLDL0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Le Havre1442
Marseille1516
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model37% · 31% · 32%
Power Rating36% · 26% · 38%
Machine-learning29% · 22% · 49%

AI match preview

Le Havre host Marseille in a Ligue 1 clash where the away side holds a 44% chance of victory, slightly favored over a home win at 30% and a 26% draw probability. Despite Marseille’s edge in the 1X2 market, the expected goals are close (1.27 for Le Havre vs. 1.16 for Marseille), with the most likely scoreline predicted as a 1-1 draw. With a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% probability of both teams scoring, this match could offer competitive action—remember, these projections are statistical estimates and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.27 – 1.16

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 44%

Under 56%

Both teams to score

Yes 51%

No 49%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Le Havre 0–1 Marseille
Oct 2025 Marseille 6–2 Le Havre