Rennes vs Paris FC Prediction

Ligue 1 25/26 · Sun 10 May, 21:00
Rennes
21 Full time
Paris FC
Rennes 2–1 Paris FC

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (60%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 60%
Draw 20%
Away 20%

💡 Rennes are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 71.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 71.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1577 v 1513 Rennes rated higher
Form Index 2.4 v 2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Rennes is the stronger side on Power Rating (1577 vs 1513).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.5 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Rennes
Form Index
Rennes
Goal expectation
Rennes
Home advantage
Rennes

Green = favours Rennes · Blue = favours Paris FC. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
RennesWWWWL2.4 ppg
Paris FCDWWLW2 ppg
Power Rating
Rennes1577
Paris FC1513
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model47% · 30% · 23%
Power Rating57% · 15% · 27%
Machine-learning73% · 14% · 14%

AI match preview

Rennes hold a solid 60% chance of securing victory against Paris FC in this Ligue 1 encounter, supported by a 71/100 confidence level from the model. The expected goals suggest a moderately close contest, with Rennes favored to score 1.47 goals to Paris FC's 0.97, yet the most likely scoreline remains a 1-1 draw. With under 50% probabilities for both over 2.5 goals and both teams to score, this match could be a tightly contested affair; remember, these projections are statistical estimates and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.47 – 0.97

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 44%

Under 56%

Both teams to score

Yes 49%

No 51%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Rennes 2–1 Paris FC
Nov 2025 Paris FC 0–1 Rennes