Toulouse vs Lyon Prediction

Ligue 1 25/26 · Sun 10 May, 21:00
Toulouse
21 Full time
Lyon
Toulouse 2–1 Lyon

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (49%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 27%
Draw 24%
Away 49%

💡 Lyon are favourites — about 49 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 54.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 54.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1485 v 1588 Lyon rated higher
Form Index 0.8 v 2.6 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Toulouse v Lyon

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Why we predict this

  • Lyon is the stronger side on Power Rating (1588 vs 1485).
  • Lyon is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lyon
Form Index
Lyon
Goal expectation
Lyon
Home advantage
Toulouse

Green = favours Toulouse · Blue = favours Lyon. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ToulouseLLLDW0.8 ppg
LyonDWWWW2.6 ppg
Power Rating
Toulouse1485
Lyon1588
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model28% · 28% · 44%
Power Rating34% · 24% · 42%
Machine-learning30% · 18% · 52%

AI match preview

Toulouse hosts Lyon in a Ligue 1 clash where the model slightly favors an away win at 49%, though a draw remains quite possible with a 24% chance. Expected goals suggest a competitive match with Lyon edging slightly ahead (1.55 vs. 1.19), and the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw. With over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams scoring at 56%, fans can anticipate an open game; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.19 – 1.55

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 52%

Under 48%

Both teams to score

Yes 56%

No 44%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Toulouse 2–1 Lyon
Oct 2025 Lyon 1–2 Toulouse