Lille vs Auxerre Prediction

Ligue 1 25/26 · Sun 17 May, 21:00
Lille
02 Full time
Auxerre
Lille 0–2 Auxerre

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (68%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 68%
Draw 18%
Away 14%

💡 Lille are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 82.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 82.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1593 v 1454 Lille rated higher
Form Index 2.2 v 1.6 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Lille is the stronger side on Power Rating (1593 vs 1454).
  • Lille is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 1.6 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.6 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lille
Form Index
Lille
Goal expectation
Lille
Home advantage
Lille

Green = favours Lille · Blue = favours Auxerre. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LilleWDWDW2.2 ppg
AuxerreDDLWW1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Lille1593
Auxerre1454
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model56% · 28% · 16%
Power Rating67% · 12% · 21%
Machine-learning88% · 8% · 4%

AI match preview

Lille enters this Ligue 1 clash with a strong 68% chance of securing a home win against Auxerre, backed by an expected goals tally of 1.59 to 0.74. The model favors a tight 1-0 victory, suggesting a closely contested match with less than a 50% probability for over 2.5 goals or both teams scoring. As always, these projections are based on statistical analysis and should be considered carefully—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.59 – 0.74

Most likely score

1-0

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 41%

Under 59%

Both teams to score

Yes 43%

No 57%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Lille 0–2 Auxerre
Dec 2025 Auxerre 3–4 Lille