Lyon vs Lens Prediction

Ligue 1 25/26 · Sun 17 May, 21:00
Lyon
04 Full time
Lens
Lyon 0–4 Lens

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (53%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 53%
Draw 23%
Away 24%

💡 Lyon are favourites — about 53 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 61.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 61.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1575 v 1586 Lens rated higher
Form Index 2.4 v 1.6 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1575 vs 1586).
  • Lyon is in clearly better recent form (2.4 vs 1.6 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lens
Form Index
Lyon
Goal expectation
Lyon
Home advantage
Lyon

Green = favours Lyon · Blue = favours Lens. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LyonWWWWL2.4 ppg
LensWDDWL1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Lyon1575
Lens1586
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model45% · 27% · 27%
Power Rating45% · 22% · 33%
Machine-learning43% · 25% · 32%

AI match preview

Lyon hosts Lens in a Ligue 1 clash where the model slightly favors a home win at 53%, though a draw or an away victory remain realistic outcomes. Expected goals suggest a close contest with Lyon edging 1.63 to 1.22, while the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw. With a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and 58% probability both teams scoring, fans can anticipate an open and competitive match. Remember, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.63 – 1.22

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 54%

Under 46%

Both teams to score

Yes 58%

No 42%

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Lyon 0–4 Lens
Aug 2025 Lens 0–1 Lyon