Marseille vs Rennes Prediction

Ligue 1 25/26 · Sun 17 May, 21:00
Marseille
31 Full time
Rennes
Marseille 3–1 Rennes

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (46%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 46%
Draw 24%
Away 30%

💡 Marseille are favourites — about 46 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 51.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 51.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1526 v 1584 Rennes rated higher
Form Index 1.4 v 2.4 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Rennes is the stronger side on Power Rating (1584 vs 1526).
  • Rennes is in clearly better recent form (2.4 vs 1.4 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.6 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Rennes
Form Index
Rennes
Goal expectation
Marseille
Home advantage
Marseille

Green = favours Marseille · Blue = favours Rennes. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MarseilleWLDLW1.4 ppg
RennesWWWLW2.4 ppg
Power Rating
Marseille1526
Rennes1584
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model58% · 20% · 22%
Power Rating38% · 26% · 36%
Machine-learning28% · 29% · 43%

AI match preview

Marseille hosts Rennes in a Ligue 1 clash where the home side holds a 46% chance of victory, with the model favoring a 2-1 scoreline based on expected goals of 2.62 to 1.61. There is a strong likelihood of an open game, as indicated by a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 75% chance that both teams will score. These projections highlight potential attacking action, but remember these are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.62 – 1.61

Most likely score

2-1

8% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 79%

Under 21%

Both teams to score

Yes 75%

No 25%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Marseille 3–1 Rennes
Aug 2025 Rennes 1–0 Marseille