Paris FC vs Paris SG Prediction

Ligue 1 25/26 · Sun 17 May, 21:00
Paris FC
21 Full time
Paris SG
Paris FC 2–1 Paris SG

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (63%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 18%
Draw 19%
Away 63%

💡 Paris SG are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore High · 75.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 75.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1506 v 1666 Paris SG rated higher
Form Index 1.8 v 2.6 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Paris SG is the stronger side on Power Rating (1666 vs 1506).
  • Paris SG is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 1.8 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.4 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Paris SG
Form Index
Paris SG
Goal expectation
Paris SG
Home advantage
Paris FC

Green = favours Paris FC · Blue = favours Paris SG. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Paris FCWWLWL1.8 ppg
Paris SGWWDWW2.6 ppg
Power Rating
Paris FC1506
Paris SG1666
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model14% · 20% · 66%
Power Rating30% · 18% · 52%
Machine-learning16% · 14% · 70%

AI match preview

Paris SG heads to Paris FC with a strong 63% chance of victory, according to model projections, suggesting a likely away win in this Ligue 1 clash. The match is expected to be relatively high-scoring, with an anticipated 1.06 goals for Paris FC and 2.39 for Paris SG, and a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals overall. With both teams projected to find the net 61% of the time, a 2-1 scoreline favoring the visitors emerges as the most probable result—remember, these are statistical insights and all betting should be done responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.06 – 2.39

Most likely score

1-2

10% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 67%

Under 33%

Both teams to score

Yes 61%

No 39%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Paris FC 2–1 Paris SG
Jan 2026 Paris SG 2–1 Paris FC