Bologna vs Spezia Prediction

Serie A 22/23 · Fri 27 Jan, 17:30
Bologna
20 Full time
Spezia
Bologna 2–0 Spezia

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (54%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 54%
Draw 26%
Away 20%

💡 Bologna are favourites — about 54 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 61.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 61.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1480 v 1438 Bologna rated higher
Form Index WLLWD v WDDWL Bologna 1.4 · Spezia 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Bologna v Spezia

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Why we predict this

  • Bologna is the stronger side on Power Rating (1480 vs 1438).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.6 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Bologna
Form Index
Spezia
Goal expectation
Bologna
Home advantage
Bologna

Green = favours Bologna · Blue = favours Spezia. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
BolognaWLLWD1.4 ppg
SpeziaWDDWL1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Bologna1480
Spezia1438
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model64% · 26% · 10%
Power Rating54% · 17% · 29%
Machine-learning53% · 26% · 20%

AI match preview

Bologna enters this Serie A clash as favorites with a 54% probability to claim victory, supported by an expected goal tally of 1.64 compared to Spezia's 0.52. The model suggests a tight contest, most likely ending 1-0 in favor of the home side, with a relatively low chance of both teams scoring or the match exceeding 2.5 goals. As always, these projections are statistical estimates and should be used responsibly when considering bets (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.64 – 0.52

Most likely score

1-0

18% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 36%

Under 64%

Both teams to score

Yes 34%

No 66%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara Bologna, Italy Capacity 36,462 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2023 Bologna 2–0 Spezia
Sept 2022 Spezia 2–2 Bologna