Atalanta vs Sampdoria Prediction

Serie A 22/23 · Sat 28 Jan, 19:45
Atalanta
20 Full time
Sampdoria
Atalanta 2–0 Sampdoria

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (71%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 71%
Draw 18%
Away 11%

💡 Atalanta are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 86.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 86.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1566 v 1362 Atalanta rated higher
Form Index LDWWD v LWLLL Atalanta 1.6 · Sampdoria 0.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Atalanta v Sampdoria

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Atalanta is the stronger side on Power Rating (1566 vs 1362).
  • Atalanta is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.3 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Atalanta
Form Index
Atalanta
Goal expectation
Atalanta
Home advantage
Atalanta

Green = favours Atalanta · Blue = favours Sampdoria. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AtalantaLDWWD1.6 ppg
SampdoriaLWLLL0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Atalanta1566
Sampdoria1362
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model66% · 21% · 13%
Power Rating73% · 12% · 16%
Machine-learning72% · 23% · 5%

AI match preview

Atalanta enter this Serie A clash with a strong 71% probability of securing a home win against Sampdoria, backed by an expected goals advantage of 2.26 to 0.95. The model suggests a 2-0 scoreline as the most likely outcome, with a 62% chance of the match producing over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance both teams will score. These projections provide a statistical outlook on the game, but remember to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.26 – 0.95

Most likely score

2-0

10% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 62%

Under 38%

Both teams to score

Yes 56%

No 44%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Gewiss Stadium Bergamo, Italy Capacity 24,950 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2023 Atalanta 2–0 Sampdoria
Aug 2022 Sampdoria 0–2 Atalanta