Lazio vs Fiorentina Prediction

Serie A 22/23 · Sun 29 Jan, 17:00
Lazio
11 Full time
Fiorentina
Lazio 1–1 Fiorentina

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (54%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 54%
Draw 25%
Away 20%

💡 Lazio are favourites — about 54 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 62.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 62.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1589 v 1476 Lazio rated higher
Form Index LLDWW v LDWLL Lazio 1.4 · Fiorentina 0.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Lazio v Fiorentina

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Why we predict this

  • Lazio is the stronger side on Power Rating (1589 vs 1476).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.5 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lazio
Form Index
Lazio
Goal expectation
Lazio
Home advantage
Lazio

Green = favours Lazio · Blue = favours Fiorentina. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LazioLLDWW1.4 ppg
FiorentinaLDWLL0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Lazio1589
Fiorentina1476
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model55% · 29% · 16%
Power Rating65% · 12% · 23%
Machine-learning64% · 26% · 10%

AI match preview

Lazio holds a 54% chance of securing a home victory against Fiorentina, with the model projecting a tight 1-0 scoreline based on expected goals of 1.52 to 0.73. The probability of a draw stands at 25%, while an away win is less favored at 20%. With an under 2.5 goals likelihood of 61% and both teams scoring predicted at 42%, this matchup suggests a cautious contest; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.52 – 0.73

Most likely score

1-0

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 39%

Under 61%

Both teams to score

Yes 42%

No 58%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2023 Lazio 1–1 Fiorentina
Oct 2022 Fiorentina 0–4 Lazio