Napoli vs Roma Prediction

Serie A 22/23 · Sun 29 Jan, 19:45
Napoli
21 Full time
Roma
Napoli 2–1 Roma

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (58%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 58%
Draw 24%
Away 19%

💡 Napoli are favourites — about 58 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 67.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 67.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1667 v 1571 Napoli rated higher
Form Index WLWWW v DWDWW Napoli 2.4 · Roma 2.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Napoli v Roma

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Napoli is the stronger side on Power Rating (1667 vs 1571).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.1 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Napoli
Form Index
Napoli
Goal expectation
Napoli
Home advantage
Napoli

Green = favours Napoli · Blue = favours Roma. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
NapoliWLWWW2.4 ppg
RomaDWDWW2.2 ppg
Power Rating
Napoli1667
Roma1571
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model59% · 23% · 18%
Power Rating63% · 13% · 25%
Machine-learning62% · 26% · 12%

AI match preview

Napoli are favored to win this Serie A clash against Roma with a 58% probability, supported by an expected goals tally of 2.06 to 1.07. Despite the home advantage, the model suggests a closely contested match, with a 1-1 draw emerging as the most likely scoreline. Over 2.5 goals and both teams to score are also probable outcomes, at 61% and 59% respectively; remember these projections are statistical estimates and gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.06 – 1.07

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 61%

Under 39%

Both teams to score

Yes 59%

No 41%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Stadium & conditions

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona Naples, Italy Capacity 54,726 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2023 Napoli 2–1 Roma
Oct 2022 Roma 0–1 Napoli