Roma vs Empoli Prediction

Serie A 22/23 · Sat 4 Feb, 17:00
Roma
20 Full time
Empoli
Roma 2–0 Empoli

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (59%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 59%
Draw 24%
Away 17%

💡 Roma are favourites — about 59 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 69.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 69.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1565 v 1499 Roma rated higher
Form Index WDWWL v DDWWD Roma 2.0 · Empoli 1.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Roma v Empoli

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Why we predict this

  • Roma is the stronger side on Power Rating (1565 vs 1499).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.2 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Roma
Form Index
Roma
Goal expectation
Roma
Home advantage
Roma

Green = favours Roma · Blue = favours Empoli. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
RomaWDWWL2.0 ppg
EmpoliDDWWD1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Roma1565
Empoli1499
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model48% · 35% · 17%
Power Rating58% · 15% · 27%
Machine-learning55% · 28% · 17%

AI match preview

Roma enter this Serie A clash with a 59% probability of securing a home win against Empoli, who stand at 17%. Despite the home side's higher expected goals at 1.15 compared to Empoli's 0.58, the model also suggests a 24% chance of a draw, with a 0-0 scoreline as the most likely result. Over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring appear less probable, at 25% and 32% respectively; remember these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.15 – 0.58

Most likely score

0-0

19% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 25%

Under 75%

Both teams to score

Yes 32%

No 68%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Stadio Olimpico Rome, Italy Capacity 70,634 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2023 Roma 2–0 Empoli
Sept 2022 Empoli 1–2 Roma