Sassuolo vs Atalanta Prediction

Serie A 22/23 · Sat 4 Feb, 19:45
Sassuolo
10 Full time
Atalanta
Sassuolo 1–0 Atalanta

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (51%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 25%
Draw 24%
Away 51%

💡 Atalanta are favourites — about 51 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 58.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 58.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1456 v 1571 Atalanta rated higher
Form Index LLLDW v DWWDW Sassuolo 0.8 · Atalanta 2.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Sassuolo v Atalanta

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Why we predict this

  • Atalanta is the stronger side on Power Rating (1571 vs 1456).
  • Atalanta is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.7 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Atalanta
Form Index
Atalanta
Goal expectation
Atalanta
Home advantage
Sassuolo

Green = favours Sassuolo · Blue = favours Atalanta. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SassuoloLLLDW0.8 ppg
AtalantaDWWDW2.2 ppg
Power Rating
Sassuolo1456
Atalanta1571
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model21% · 27% · 53%
Power Rating33% · 23% · 44%
Machine-learning18% · 23% · 60%

AI match preview

Sassuolo face Atalanta in a Serie A clash where the model favors an away win at 51%, though a draw or home victory remain plausible outcomes. Both teams are projected to score, with a 55% probability for BTTS and a balanced chance of finishing over 2.5 goals at 52%, suggesting an open and potentially competitive match. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, but with a moderate confidence of 58/100 in an Atalanta win, fans should expect a closely fought encounter. Remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.03 – 1.75

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 52%

Under 48%

Both teams to score

Yes 55%

No 45%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2023 Sassuolo 1–0 Atalanta
Oct 2022 Atalanta 2–1 Sassuolo