Spezia vs Napoli Prediction

Serie A 22/23 · Sun 5 Feb, 11:30
Spezia
03 Full time
Napoli
Spezia 0–3 Napoli

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (70%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 13%
Draw 17%
Away 70%

💡 Napoli are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore High · 85.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 85.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1426 v 1673 Napoli rated higher
Form Index DDWLL v LWWWW Spezia 1.0 · Napoli 2.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Spezia v Napoli

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Why we predict this

  • Napoli is the stronger side on Power Rating (1673 vs 1426).
  • Napoli is in clearly better recent form (2.4 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.1 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Napoli
Form Index
Napoli
Goal expectation
Napoli
Home advantage
Spezia

Green = favours Spezia · Blue = favours Napoli. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SpeziaDDWLL1.0 ppg
NapoliLWWWW2.4 ppg
Power Rating
Spezia1426
Napoli1673
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model12% · 22% · 67%
Power Rating23% · 12% · 65%
Machine-learning5% · 12% · 83%

AI match preview

Napoli heads to Spezia as strong favorites with a 70% chance of securing an away win, backed by an expected goals tally of 2.13 compared to Spezia's 0.80. The model suggests a 0-2 scoreline is most probable, with a moderate 56% likelihood of the match exceeding 2.5 goals and a balanced 50% chance for both teams to find the net. These projections provide statistical insight but remember to consider the unpredictable nature of football and gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.80 – 2.13

Most likely score

0-2

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 56%

Under 44%

Both teams to score

Yes 50%

No 50%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2023 Spezia 0–3 Napoli
Sept 2022 Napoli 1–0 Spezia