Fiorentina vs Bologna Prediction

Serie A 22/23 · Sun 5 Feb, 17:00
Fiorentina
12 Full time
Bologna
Fiorentina 1–2 Bologna

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (50%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 50%
Draw 25%
Away 25%

💡 Fiorentina are favourites — about 50 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 56.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 56.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1481 v 1491 Bologna rated higher
Form Index DWLLD v LLWDW Fiorentina 1.0 · Bologna 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1481 vs 1491).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.1 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Bologna
Form Index
Bologna
Goal expectation
Fiorentina
Home advantage
Fiorentina

Green = favours Fiorentina · Blue = favours Bologna. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
FiorentinaDWLLD1.0 ppg
BolognaLLWDW1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Fiorentina1481
Bologna1491
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model52% · 24% · 25%
Power Rating45% · 22% · 33%
Machine-learning43% · 27% · 30%

AI match preview

Fiorentina hosts Bologna in a Serie A clash where the model favors a home win with a 50% probability, though a draw or away victory each hold a 25% chance. Expected goals suggest an open game with Fiorentina at 2.07 and Bologna at 1.40, supporting a high likelihood of over 2.5 goals (67%) and both teams scoring (67%). The most probable scoreline is 1-1, highlighting the competitive nature of this matchup; remember, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.07 – 1.40

Most likely score

1-1

10% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 67%

Under 33%

Both teams to score

Yes 67%

No 33%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2023 Fiorentina 1–2 Bologna
Sept 2022 Bologna 2–1 Fiorentina