Monza vs Sampdoria Prediction

Serie A 22/23 · Mon 6 Feb, 19:45
Monza
22 Full time
Sampdoria
Monza 2–2 Sampdoria

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (58%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 58%
Draw 25%
Away 17%

💡 Monza are favourites — about 58 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 67.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 67.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1507 v 1356 Monza rated higher
Form Index DDWDW v WLLLL Monza 1.8 · Sampdoria 0.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Monza v Sampdoria

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Monza is the stronger side on Power Rating (1507 vs 1356).
  • Monza is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.7 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Monza
Form Index
Monza
Goal expectation
Monza
Home advantage
Monza

Green = favours Monza · Blue = favours Sampdoria. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MonzaDDWDW1.8 ppg
SampdoriaWLLLL0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Monza1507
Sampdoria1356
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model59% · 27% · 14%
Power Rating68% · 12% · 20%
Machine-learning62% · 27% · 10%

AI match preview

Monza hosts Sampdoria in a Serie A clash where the model favors a home win with a 58% probability, reflecting Monza's stronger expected goal tally of 1.67 compared to Sampdoria's 0.71. A tight 1-0 scoreline is the most likely outcome, with only moderate chances of over 2.5 goals or both teams scoring, each at 43%. These projections highlight probabilities based on statistical models — please gamble responsibly and ensure you are 18 or older.

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.67 – 0.71

Most likely score

1-0

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 43%

Under 57%

Both teams to score

Yes 43%

No 57%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2023 Monza 2–2 Sampdoria
Oct 2022 Sampdoria 0–3 Monza