Lecce vs Roma Prediction

Serie A 22/23 · Sat 11 Feb, 17:00
Lecce
11 Full time
Roma
Lecce 1–1 Roma

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (46%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 26%
Draw 28%
Away 46%

💡 Roma are favourites — about 46 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 51.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 51.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1476 v 1576 Roma rated higher
Form Index DDLLW v DWWLW Lecce 1.0 · Roma 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Lecce v Roma

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Why we predict this

  • Roma is the stronger side on Power Rating (1576 vs 1476).
  • Roma is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Roma
Form Index
Roma
Goal expectation
Roma
Home advantage
Lecce

Green = favours Lecce · Blue = favours Roma. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LecceDDLLW1.0 ppg
RomaDWWLW2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Lecce1476
Roma1576
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model25% · 29% · 46%
Power Rating34% · 24% · 42%
Machine-learning24% · 25% · 51%

AI match preview

Lecce host Roma in a Serie A clash where the visitors hold a 46% chance of victory, though a draw remains slightly more probable than a home win according to model projections. The match is expected to be competitive, with an anticipated scoreline of 1-1 and a moderate 53% likelihood of both teams scoring. Over 2.5 goals is less favored at 48%, reflecting a potentially tight contest; remember these are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.08 – 1.53

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 48%

Under 52%

Both teams to score

Yes 53%

No 47%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2023 Lecce 1–1 Roma
Oct 2022 Roma 2–1 Lecce