Lazio vs Atalanta Prediction

Serie A 22/23 · Sat 11 Feb, 19:45
Lazio
02 Full time
Atalanta
Lazio 0–2 Atalanta

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (44%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 44%
Draw 27%
Away 29%

💡 Lazio have a slight edge — leaning Lazio, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 48.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 48.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1580 v 1559 Lazio rated higher
Form Index DWWDD v WWDWL Lazio 1.8 · Atalanta 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Lazio v Atalanta

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1580 vs 1559).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lazio
Form Index
Atalanta
Goal expectation
Lazio
Home advantage
Lazio

Green = favours Lazio · Blue = favours Atalanta. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LazioDWWDD1.8 ppg
AtalantaWWDWL2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Lazio1580
Atalanta1559
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model37% · 29% · 33%
Power Rating50% · 19% · 31%
Machine-learning45% · 30% · 25%

AI match preview

Lazio and Atalanta face off in a tightly contested Serie A clash where the model slightly favors a home win at 44%, though a draw or away victory remain plausible outcomes. Expected goals are close, with Lazio at 1.37 and Atalanta at 1.29, aligning with the most probable scoreline of 1-1. With a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and 56% likelihood of both teams scoring, this match promises competitive play; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.37 – 1.29

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 50%

Under 50%

Both teams to score

Yes 56%

No 44%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2023 Lazio 0–2 Atalanta
Oct 2022 Atalanta 0–2 Lazio