Bologna vs Monza Prediction

Serie A 22/23 · Sun 12 Feb, 14:00
Bologna
01 Full time
Monza
Bologna 0–1 Monza

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (45%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 45%
Draw 28%
Away 28%

💡 Bologna have a slight edge — leaning Bologna, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 50.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 50.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1504 v 1501 Bologna rated higher
Form Index LWDWW v DWDWD Bologna 2.0 · Monza 1.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Bologna v Monza

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1504 vs 1501).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.7 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Bologna
Goal expectation
Bologna
Home advantage
Bologna

Green = favours Bologna · Blue = favours Monza. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
BolognaLWDWW2.0 ppg
MonzaDWDWD1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Bologna1504
Monza1501
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model55% · 27% · 18%
Power Rating47% · 21% · 32%
Machine-learning45% · 28% · 27%

AI match preview

Bologna hosts Monza in a Serie A clash where the home side holds a slight edge with a 45% chance of victory, while a draw or away win both stand at 28%. The model projects an expected goals tally favoring Bologna at 1.65 to 0.86, yet the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, highlighting a potentially tight contest. With under 2.5 goals and both teams scoring being almost equally probable, this match promises balanced action—remember, these are statistical projections and always gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.65 – 0.86

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 46%

Under 54%

Both teams to score

Yes 48%

No 52%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara Bologna, Italy Capacity 36,462 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2023 Bologna 0–1 Monza
Oct 2022 Monza 1–2 Bologna