Juventus vs Fiorentina Prediction

Serie A 22/23 · Sun 12 Feb, 17:00
Juventus
10 Full time
Fiorentina
Juventus 1–0 Fiorentina

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (58%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 58%
Draw 24%
Away 17%

💡 Juventus are favourites — about 58 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 68.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 68.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1580 v 1468 Juventus rated higher
Form Index WLDLW v WLLDL Juventus 1.4 · Fiorentina 0.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Juventus v Fiorentina

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Why we predict this

  • Juventus is the stronger side on Power Rating (1580 vs 1468).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.6 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Juventus
Form Index
Juventus
Goal expectation
Juventus
Home advantage
Juventus

Green = favours Juventus · Blue = favours Fiorentina. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
JuventusWLDLW1.4 ppg
FiorentinaWLLDL0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Juventus1580
Fiorentina1468
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model61% · 27% · 13%
Power Rating65% · 12% · 23%
Machine-learning62% · 26% · 12%

AI match preview

Juventus enter this Serie A clash with a 58% chance of securing a home win against Fiorentina, supported by a projected 1.65 expected goals to their opponent's 0.63. The model suggests a tight encounter, with the most likely scoreline being 1-0, while a draw or Fiorentina victory appear less probable. With only a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals and 39% probability of both teams scoring, this matchup could see limited scoring opportunities; as always, these are statistical projections and please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.65 – 0.63

Most likely score

1-0

16% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 40%

Under 60%

Both teams to score

Yes 39%

No 61%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Allianz Stadium Turin, Italy Capacity 41,507 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2023 Juventus 1–0 Fiorentina
Sept 2022 Fiorentina 1–1 Juventus