Sampdoria vs Bologna Prediction

Serie A 22/23 · Sat 18 Feb, 14:00
Sampdoria
12 Full time
Bologna
Sampdoria 1–2 Bologna

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (48%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 25%
Draw 27%
Away 48%

💡 Bologna are favourites — about 48 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 53.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 53.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1367 v 1491 Bologna rated higher
Form Index LLLDD v WDWWL Sampdoria 0.4 · Bologna 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Bologna is the stronger side on Power Rating (1491 vs 1367).
  • Bologna is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.5 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Bologna
Form Index
Bologna
Goal expectation
Bologna
Home advantage
Sampdoria

Green = favours Sampdoria · Blue = favours Bologna. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SampdoriaLLLDD0.4 ppg
BolognaWDWWL2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Sampdoria1367
Bologna1491
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model15% · 30% · 55%
Power Rating33% · 22% · 46%
Machine-learning19% · 23% · 58%

AI match preview

Sampdoria hosts Bologna in a Serie A clash where the visitors hold a 48% chance of victory, according to model projections, while a draw or home win are slightly less probable. Expected goals favor Bologna with 1.45 compared to Sampdoria's 0.64, suggesting a tight match potentially decided by a single goal, with 0-1 as the most likely scoreline. With under 2.5 goals and both teams not likely to score, this game might be a cautious affair; remember these are statistical estimates and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.64 – 1.45

Most likely score

0-1

16% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 35%

Under 65%

Both teams to score

Yes 38%

No 62%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2023 Sampdoria 1–2 Bologna
Oct 2022 Bologna 1–1 Sampdoria