Fiorentina vs Empoli Prediction

Serie A 22/23 · Sun 19 Feb, 14:00
Fiorentina
11 Full time
Empoli
Fiorentina 1–1 Empoli

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (50%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 50%
Draw 25%
Away 25%

💡 Fiorentina are favourites — about 50 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 56.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 56.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1462 v 1484 Empoli rated higher
Form Index LLDLL v WWDLD Fiorentina 0.2 · Empoli 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Fiorentina v Empoli

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1462 vs 1484).
  • Empoli is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Empoli
Form Index
Empoli
Goal expectation
Fiorentina
Home advantage
Fiorentina

Green = favours Fiorentina · Blue = favours Empoli. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
FiorentinaLLDLL0.2 ppg
EmpoliWWDLD1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Fiorentina1462
Empoli1484
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model41% · 30% · 29%
Power Rating43% · 23% · 34%
Machine-learning39% · 27% · 34%

AI match preview

Fiorentina hold a statistical edge with a 50% chance of victory against Empoli, though a draw or away win both stand at 25%, highlighting a fairly balanced contest. The expected goals suggest a tight match, with a predicted 1-1 scoreline and over 2.5 goals under 50%, while both teams scoring is slightly more probable at 53%. These projections are based on model data and should be used as guidance only—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.40 – 1.14

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 47%

Under 53%

Both teams to score

Yes 53%

No 47%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2023 Fiorentina 1–1 Empoli
Aug 2022 Empoli 0–0 Fiorentina