Lecce vs Sassuolo Prediction

Serie A 22/23 · Sat 25 Feb, 19:45
Lecce
01 Full time
Sassuolo
Lecce 0–1 Sassuolo

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (42%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 42%
Draw 28%
Away 30%

💡 Lecce have a slight edge — leaning Lecce, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 46.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 46.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1493 v 1462 Lecce rated higher
Form Index 1.4 v 1.6 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Lecce v Sassuolo

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1493 vs 1462).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lecce
Form Index
Sassuolo
Goal expectation
Lecce
Home advantage
Lecce

Green = favours Lecce · Blue = favours Sassuolo. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LecceLLWDW1.4 ppg
SassuoloDWWDL1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Lecce1493
Sassuolo1462
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model43% · 28% · 28%
Power Rating52% · 18% · 30%
Machine-learning46% · 29% · 25%

AI match preview

Lecce and Sassuolo face off in a closely matched Serie A encounter, with the model giving a slight edge to the home side at 42% probability, while a draw and away win remain plausible outcomes. Expected goals suggest a tight game, likely ending around 1-1, supported by a 56% chance both teams will score and just over half the chance of more than 2.5 goals. These projections highlight the competitive nature of the fixture, but remember they are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.53 – 1.19

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 51%

Under 49%

Both teams to score

Yes 56%

No 44%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2023 Lecce 0–1 Sassuolo
Aug 2022 Sassuolo 1–0 Lecce