Salernitana vs Monza Prediction

Serie A 22/23 · Sun 26 Feb, 14:00
Salernitana
30 Full time
Monza
Salernitana 3–0 Monza

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (44%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 29%
Draw 27%
Away 44%

💡 Monza have a slight edge — leaning Monza, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 48.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 48.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1412 v 1502 Monza rated higher
Form Index 0.6 v 1.6 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Salernitana v Monza

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Why we predict this

  • Monza is the stronger side on Power Rating (1502 vs 1412).
  • Monza is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Monza
Form Index
Monza
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Salernitana

Green = favours Salernitana · Blue = favours Monza. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SalernitanaLWLLL0.6 ppg
MonzaDWDWL1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Salernitana1412
Monza1502
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model34% · 29% · 37%
Power Rating35% · 25% · 40%
Machine-learning25% · 25% · 50%

AI match preview

Salernitana hosts Monza in a Serie A clash where the away side holds a 44% chance of victory, slightly edging home and draw outcomes. The model predicts a tight contest with an expected goals tally close to 1.3 for each team and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. With a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% chance both teams score, this matchup promises competitive action; remember these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.32 – 1.38

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 50%

Under 50%

Both teams to score

Yes 56%

No 44%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2023 Salernitana 3–0 Monza
Nov 2022 Monza 3–0 Salernitana