Cremonese vs Roma Prediction

Serie A 22/23 · Tue 28 Feb, 17:30
Cremonese
21 Full time
Roma
Cremonese 2–1 Roma

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (61%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 16%
Draw 22%
Away 61%

💡 Roma are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 72.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 72.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1367 v 1579 Roma rated higher
Form Index 0.4 v 2.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Roma is the stronger side on Power Rating (1579 vs 1367).
  • Roma is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.9 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Roma
Form Index
Roma
Goal expectation
Roma
Home advantage
Cremonese

Green = favours Cremonese · Blue = favours Roma. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
CremoneseDLLLD0.4 ppg
RomaWLWDW2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Cremonese1367
Roma1579
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model9% · 23% · 69%
Power Rating26% · 14% · 61%
Machine-learning9% · 17% · 74%

AI match preview

Cremonese face a tough challenge at home against Roma, with the model giving the visitors a 61% chance of victory and a confidence rating of 72/100. Expected goals suggest Roma will dominate, likely edging a 2-0 win, while the probabilities lean against a high-scoring game or both teams finding the net. As always, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.56 – 1.92

Most likely score

0-2

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 45%

Under 55%

Both teams to score

Yes 38%

No 62%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2023 Cremonese 2–1 Roma
Aug 2022 Roma 1–0 Cremonese