Monza vs Empoli Prediction

Serie A 22/23 · Sat 4 Mar, 14:00
Monza
21 Full time
Empoli
Monza 2–1 Empoli

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (47%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 47%
Draw 27%
Away 25%

💡 Monza are favourites — about 47 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 53.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 53.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1482 v 1476 Monza rated higher
Form Index 1.4 v 0.6 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Monza v Empoli

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1482 vs 1476).
  • Monza is in clearly better recent form (1.4 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Monza
Goal expectation
Monza
Home advantage
Monza

Green = favours Monza · Blue = favours Empoli. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MonzaWDWLL1.4 ppg
EmpoliDLDDL0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Monza1482
Empoli1476
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model45% · 31% · 24%
Power Rating48% · 21% · 32%
Machine-learning45% · 30% · 25%

AI match preview

Monza holds a slight edge at 47% to claim victory against Empoli, with the model projecting a closely contested match given the 27% draw probability and 25% chance for an away win. Expected goals favor Monza at 1.36 to Empoli's 0.91, yet the most likely scoreline is a balanced 1-1 draw. With under 2.5 goals and both teams not necessarily scoring, this encounter could be tight; remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.36 – 0.91

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 40%

Under 60%

Both teams to score

Yes 46%

No 54%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2023 Monza 2–1 Empoli
Oct 2022 Empoli 1–0 Monza