Spezia vs Verona Prediction

Serie A 22/23 · Sun 5 Mar, 11:30
Spezia
00 Full time
Verona
Spezia 0–0 Verona

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (41%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 41%
Draw 29%
Away 30%

💡 Spezia have a slight edge — leaning Spezia, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 43.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 43.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1413 v 1402 Spezia rated higher
Form Index 0.4 v 1.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1413 vs 1402).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Spezia
Form Index
Verona
Goal expectation
Spezia
Home advantage
Spezia

Green = favours Spezia · Blue = favours Verona. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SpeziaLLDLD0.4 ppg
VeronaDDWLL1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Spezia1413
Verona1402
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model41% · 33% · 25%
Power Rating49% · 20% · 31%
Machine-learning38% · 29% · 34%

AI match preview

Spezia and Verona face off in a Serie A clash where the model gives a slight edge to Spezia with a 41% chance of a home win, though a draw remains a strong possibility at 29%. The expected goals suggest a tight contest with 1.18 for Spezia and 0.87 for Verona, aligning with the most likely scoreline of 1-1. With only a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance both teams score, this matchup could be a closely contested affair; remember, these are statistical projections and please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.18 – 0.87

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 34%

Under 66%

Both teams to score

Yes 42%

No 58%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2023 Spezia 0–0 Verona
Nov 2022 Verona 1–2 Spezia