Sampdoria vs Salernitana Prediction

Serie A 22/23 · Sun 5 Mar, 14:00
Sampdoria
00 Full time
Salernitana
Sampdoria 0–0 Salernitana

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Draw (29%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 35%
Draw 29%
Away 36%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 36.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 36.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1354 v 1433 Salernitana rated higher
Form Index 0.4 v 1.2 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 0%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Salernitana is the stronger side on Power Rating (1433 vs 1354).
  • Salernitana is in clearly better recent form (1.2 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.3 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Salernitana
Form Index
Salernitana
Goal expectation
Salernitana
Home advantage
Sampdoria

Green = favours Sampdoria · Blue = favours Salernitana. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SampdoriaLDDLL0.4 ppg
SalernitanaWLLLW1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Sampdoria1354
Salernitana1433
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model20% · 32% · 48%
Power Rating36% · 26% · 39%
Machine-learning30% · 28% · 43%

AI match preview

Sampdoria host Salernitana in a closely matched Serie A clash where the model slightly favors an away win at 36%, with a draw also plausible at 29%. Expected goals suggest a tight contest, with Salernitana edging the scoring chances at 1.29 compared to Sampdoria’s 0.74, making a 0-1 scoreline the most likely outcome. With under 2.5 goals and both teams not necessarily scoring in the majority of simulations, this game could remain low-scoring and competitive; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.74 – 1.29

Most likely score

0-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 33%

Under 67%

Both teams to score

Yes 40%

No 60%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2023 Sampdoria 0–0 Salernitana
Aug 2022 Salernitana 4–0 Sampdoria