Roma vs Juventus Prediction

Serie A 22/23 · Sun 5 Mar, 19:45
Roma
10 Full time
Juventus
Roma 1–0 Juventus

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Draw (32%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 35%
Draw 32%
Away 33%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 36.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 36.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1564 v 1606 Juventus rated higher
Form Index 1.4 v 2.4 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Roma v Juventus

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Why we predict this

  • Juventus is the stronger side on Power Rating (1606 vs 1564).
  • Juventus is in clearly better recent form (2.4 vs 1.4 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Juventus
Form Index
Juventus
Goal expectation
Roma
Home advantage
Roma

Green = favours Roma · Blue = favours Juventus. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
RomaLWDWL1.4 ppg
JuventusLWWWW2.4 ppg
Power Rating
Roma1564
Juventus1606
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model38% · 41% · 21%
Power Rating40% · 25% · 35%
Machine-learning35% · 27% · 38%

AI match preview

Roma and Juventus are set for a tightly contested Serie A clash, with the model giving a slight edge to a draw at 32% probability and a low confidence of 36/100. Expected goals favor Roma marginally at 0.82 versus Juventus’s 0.54, suggesting a low-scoring encounter, with 0-0 the most likely scoreline. With just 16% chance of over 2.5 goals and 25% for both teams to score, fans should anticipate a cautious battle; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.82 – 0.54

Most likely score

0-0

27% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 16%

Under 84%

Both teams to score

Yes 25%

No 75%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Stadio Olimpico Rome, Italy Capacity 70,634 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2023 Roma 1–0 Juventus
Aug 2022 Juventus 1–1 Roma