Bologna vs Lazio Prediction

Serie A 22/23 · Sat 11 Mar, 19:45
Bologna
00 Full time
Lazio
Bologna 0–0 Lazio

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (42%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 27%
Draw 30%
Away 42%

💡 Lazio have a slight edge — leaning Lazio, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 46.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 46.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1502 v 1593 Lazio rated higher
Form Index 1.8 v 2.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Bologna v Lazio

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Why we predict this

  • Lazio is the stronger side on Power Rating (1593 vs 1502).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lazio
Form Index
Lazio
Goal expectation
Lazio
Home advantage
Bologna

Green = favours Bologna · Blue = favours Lazio. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
BolognaWLWWL1.8 ppg
LazioDLWWW2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Bologna1502
Lazio1593
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model21% · 35% · 44%
Power Rating35% · 25% · 41%
Machine-learning20% · 25% · 55%

AI match preview

Bologna hosts Lazio in a Serie A clash where the model gives the away side a 42% chance to win, slightly above the 30% probability of a draw and 27% for a home victory. Expected goals suggest a low-scoring affair, with the most likely scoreline being 0-0 despite Lazio’s edge. With only a 28% chance of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score, this match could hinge on tight defenses and few clear-cut chances. Remember, these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.70 – 1.12

Most likely score

0-0

18% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 28%

Under 72%

Both teams to score

Yes 36%

No 64%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara Bologna, Italy Capacity 36,462 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2023 Bologna 0–0 Lazio
Aug 2022 Lazio 2–1 Bologna