Roma vs Sassuolo Prediction

Serie A 22/23 · Sun 12 Mar, 17:00
Roma
34 Full time
Sassuolo
Roma 3–4 Sassuolo

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (58%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 58%
Draw 25%
Away 18%

💡 Roma are favourites — about 58 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 67.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 67.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1574 v 1482 Roma rated higher
Form Index 2.0 v 2.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Roma is the stronger side on Power Rating (1574 vs 1482).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.4 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Roma
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Roma
Home advantage
Roma

Green = favours Roma · Blue = favours Sassuolo. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
RomaWDWLW2.0 ppg
SassuoloWDLWW2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Roma1574
Sassuolo1482
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model58% · 30% · 13%
Power Rating62% · 13% · 25%
Machine-learning59% · 27% · 14%

AI match preview

Roma enter this Serie A clash with a 58% chance of securing a home win against Sassuolo, reflecting a solid statistical edge and a projected 1.43 expected goals to 0.54. The model suggests a tight 1-0 scoreline is most probable, with only a 31% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 33% chance both teams will score. Remember, these projections are based on data and probabilities—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.43 – 0.54

Most likely score

1-0

19% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 31%

Under 69%

Both teams to score

Yes 33%

No 67%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Stadio Olimpico Rome, Italy Capacity 70,634 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2023 Roma 3–4 Sassuolo
Nov 2022 Sassuolo 1–1 Roma