Monza vs Cremonese Prediction

Serie A 22/23 · Sat 18 Mar, 14:00
Monza
11 Full time
Cremonese
Monza 1–1 Cremonese

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (54%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 54%
Draw 25%
Away 21%

💡 Monza are favourites — about 54 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 62.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 62.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1490 v 1362 Monza rated higher
Form Index 1.4 v 0.8 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Monza v Cremonese

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Why we predict this

  • Monza is the stronger side on Power Rating (1490 vs 1362).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.9 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Monza
Form Index
Monza
Goal expectation
Monza
Home advantage
Monza

Green = favours Monza · Blue = favours Cremonese. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MonzaWLLWD1.4 ppg
CremoneseLDWLL0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Monza1490
Cremonese1362
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model54% · 25% · 21%
Power Rating66% · 12% · 22%
Machine-learning58% · 29% · 14%

AI match preview

Monza holds a 54% chance of claiming victory against Cremonese in this Serie A clash, with the model projecting a moderately higher expected goal tally for the home side (1.87) compared to the visitors (1.11). Despite the home win pick, the most likely score remains a 1-1 draw, highlighting the potential for a closely contested match. With over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams to score at 58%, fans can anticipate an engaging encounter; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.87 – 1.11

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 57%

Under 43%

Both teams to score

Yes 58%

No 42%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2023 Monza 1–1 Cremonese
Jan 2023 Cremonese 2–3 Monza