Salernitana vs Bologna Prediction

Serie A 22/23 · Sat 18 Mar, 17:00
Salernitana
22 Full time
Bologna
Salernitana 2–2 Bologna

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (39%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 32%
Draw 28%
Away 39%

💡 Bologna have a slight edge — leaning Bologna, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 41.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 41.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1438 v 1503 Bologna rated higher
Form Index 1.0 v 1.4 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Bologna is the stronger side on Power Rating (1503 vs 1438).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Bologna
Form Index
Bologna
Goal expectation
Salernitana
Home advantage
Salernitana

Green = favours Salernitana · Blue = favours Bologna. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SalernitanaLLWDD1.0 ppg
BolognaLWWLD1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Salernitana1438
Bologna1503
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model46% · 26% · 28%
Power Rating37% · 27% · 37%
Machine-learning31% · 26% · 43%

AI match preview

Salernitana and Bologna face off in a Serie A clash where the model slightly favors an away win for Bologna with a 39% probability, though a draw also remains a strong possibility. Expected goals suggest a tight contest with 1.79 for Salernitana and 1.38 for Bologna, aligning with the most likely 1-1 scoreline. With over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams to score at 64%, this match could offer some attacking action, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.79 – 1.38

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 61%

Under 39%

Both teams to score

Yes 64%

No 36%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2023 Salernitana 2–2 Bologna
Sept 2022 Bologna 1–1 Salernitana