Udinese vs Milan Prediction

Serie A 22/23 · Sat 18 Mar, 19:45
Udinese
31 Full time
Milan
Udinese 3–1 Milan

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (40%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 32%
Draw 28%
Away 40%

💡 Milan have a slight edge — leaning Milan, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 42.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 42.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1503 v 1549 Milan rated higher
Form Index 1.2 v 2.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 0%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Udinese v Milan

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Why we predict this

  • Milan is the stronger side on Power Rating (1549 vs 1503).
  • Milan is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Milan
Form Index
Milan
Goal expectation
Udinese
Home advantage
Udinese

Green = favours Udinese · Blue = favours Milan. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
UdineseDLDDW1.2 ppg
MilanWWWLD2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Udinese1503
Milan1549
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model40% · 30% · 30%
Power Rating39% · 25% · 35%
Machine-learning38% · 27% · 35%

AI match preview

Udinese hosts Milan in a Serie A clash where the model gives the visitors a 40% chance to take all three points, slightly edging out the home side’s 32% probability. With expected goals fairly close at 1.40 for Udinese and 1.18 for Milan, a tight contest is likely, reflected in the most probable scoreline of 1-1. The match also has a 54% chance of both teams scoring and a near-even 48% chance of over 2.5 goals, suggesting a competitive encounter. Remember, these are statistical projections; please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.40 – 1.18

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 48%

Under 52%

Both teams to score

Yes 54%

No 46%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2023 Udinese 3–1 Milan
Aug 2022 Milan 4–2 Udinese