Sampdoria vs Verona Prediction

Serie A 22/23 · Sun 19 Mar, 11:30
Sampdoria
31 Full time
Verona
Sampdoria 3–1 Verona

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Draw (32%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 31%
Draw 32%
Away 37%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 39.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 39.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1350 v 1405 Verona rated higher
Form Index 0.4 v 1.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Verona is the stronger side on Power Rating (1405 vs 1350).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Verona
Form Index
Verona
Goal expectation
Verona
Home advantage
Sampdoria

Green = favours Sampdoria · Blue = favours Verona. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SampdoriaDLLDL0.4 ppg
VeronaWLLDD1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Sampdoria1350
Verona1405
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model18% · 44% · 37%
Power Rating38% · 26% · 36%
Machine-learning30% · 28% · 42%

AI match preview

Sampdoria host Verona in a Serie A clash where the model slightly favors the visitors with a 37% chance, though a draw at 32% remains the most probable single outcome. Expected goals suggest a tight encounter, with 0.43 for Sampdoria and 0.73 for Verona, and the most likely scoreline projected as 0-0. Low probabilities for over 2.5 goals (11%) and both teams scoring (20%) indicate a cautious, defensive battle ahead. These projections are based on statistical models and should be considered as probabilities; please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.43 – 0.73

Most likely score

0-0

32% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 11%

Under 89%

Both teams to score

Yes 20%

No 80%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2023 Sampdoria 3–1 Verona
Sept 2022 Verona 2–1 Sampdoria