Fiorentina vs Lecce Prediction

Serie A 22/23 · Sun 19 Mar, 14:00
Fiorentina
10 Full time
Lecce
Fiorentina 1–0 Lecce

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (52%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 52%
Draw 26%
Away 22%

💡 Fiorentina are favourites — about 52 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 60.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 60.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1507 v 1451 Fiorentina rated higher
Form Index 2.0 v 0.8 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Fiorentina v Lecce

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Why we predict this

  • Fiorentina is the stronger side on Power Rating (1507 vs 1451).
  • Fiorentina is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Fiorentina
Form Index
Fiorentina
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Fiorentina

Green = favours Fiorentina · Blue = favours Lecce. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
FiorentinaLDWWW2.0 ppg
LecceDWLLL0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Fiorentina1507
Lecce1451
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model34% · 32% · 34%
Power Rating56% · 16% · 28%
Machine-learning44% · 33% · 23%

AI match preview

Fiorentina hosts Lecce in a Serie A clash where the model slightly favors the home side with a 52% chance of victory, though a draw at 26% and an away win at 22% remain plausible outcomes. Both teams are projected to score 1.12 goals each, making a 1-1 draw the most likely scoreline despite Fiorentina’s edge. With under 2.5 goals and less than half chance of both teams scoring, this match could be a tight, balanced affair—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.12 – 1.12

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 39%

Under 61%

Both teams to score

Yes 47%

No 53%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2023 Fiorentina 1–0 Lecce
Oct 2022 Lecce 1–1 Fiorentina