Lazio vs Roma Prediction

Serie A 22/23 · Sun 19 Mar, 17:00
Lazio
10 Full time
Roma
Lazio 1–0 Roma

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (40%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 40%
Draw 30%
Away 31%

💡 Lazio have a slight edge — leaning Lazio, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 42.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 42.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1592 v 1559 Lazio rated higher
Form Index 2.0 v 1.4 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Lazio v Roma

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1592 vs 1559).
  • Lazio is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.4 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lazio
Form Index
Lazio
Goal expectation
Lazio
Home advantage
Lazio

Green = favours Lazio · Blue = favours Roma. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LazioLWWWD2.0 ppg
RomaDWLWL1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Lazio1592
Roma1559
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model43% · 29% · 28%
Power Rating52% · 18% · 30%
Machine-learning50% · 30% · 21%

AI match preview

Lazio and Roma are set for a closely contested Serie A clash, with Lazio slightly favored to edge a home win at 40% probability. The model predicts a tight encounter with an expected goals tally of 1.47 for Lazio and 1.14 for Roma, and the most likely scoreline being 1-1. With a 54% chance both teams score and a near-even 48% probability for over 2.5 goals, fans can anticipate an engaging match; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.47 – 1.14

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 48%

Under 52%

Both teams to score

Yes 54%

No 46%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2023 Lazio 1–0 Roma
Nov 2022 Roma 0–1 Lazio