Inter vs Fiorentina Prediction

Serie A 22/23 · Sat 1 Apr, 18:00
Inter
01 Full time
Fiorentina
Inter 0–1 Fiorentina

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (53%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 53%
Draw 26%
Away 21%

💡 Inter are favourites — about 53 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 60.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 60.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1555 v 1514 Inter rated higher
Form Index 1.2 v 2.6 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Inter v Fiorentina

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Why we predict this

  • Inter is the stronger side on Power Rating (1555 vs 1514).
  • Fiorentina is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.3 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Inter
Form Index
Fiorentina
Goal expectation
Inter
Home advantage
Inter

Green = favours Inter · Blue = favours Fiorentina. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
InterWLWLL1.2 ppg
FiorentinaDWWWW2.6 ppg
Power Rating
Inter1555
Fiorentina1514
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model54% · 32% · 14%
Power Rating53% · 18% · 29%
Machine-learning53% · 27% · 20%

AI match preview

Inter holds a moderate advantage at 53% to claim victory over Fiorentina, with the model giving a 26% chance for a draw and 21% for an away win. Expected goals suggest a tight contest, with Inter projected to score 1.32 goals against Fiorentina’s 0.56, making a 1-0 result the most probable outcome. With low probabilities for over 2.5 goals (29%) and both teams scoring (33%), this match could lean toward a cautious, low-scoring affair. Remember, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.32 – 0.56

Most likely score

1-0

19% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 29%

Under 71%

Both teams to score

Yes 33%

No 67%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

San Siro Milan, Italy Capacity 75,923 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Inter 0–1 Fiorentina
Oct 2022 Fiorentina 3–4 Inter