Monza vs Lazio Prediction

Serie A 22/23 · Sun 2 Apr, 15:00
Monza
02 Full time
Lazio
Monza 0–2 Lazio

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (49%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 24%
Draw 27%
Away 49%

💡 Lazio are favourites — about 49 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 55.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 55.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1484 v 1600 Lazio rated higher
Form Index 1.0 v 2.6 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Monza v Lazio

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Why we predict this

  • Lazio is the stronger side on Power Rating (1600 vs 1484).
  • Lazio is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.4 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lazio
Form Index
Lazio
Goal expectation
Lazio
Home advantage
Monza

Green = favours Monza · Blue = favours Lazio. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MonzaLLWDD1.0 ppg
LazioWWWDW2.6 ppg
Power Rating
Monza1484
Lazio1600
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model16% · 30% · 53%
Power Rating33% · 22% · 45%
Machine-learning16% · 22% · 62%

AI match preview

Monza hosts Lazio in this Serie A clash where the visitors hold a 49% chance of victory, according to model projections, with a predicted scoreline of 0-1. The expected goals suggest Lazio may edge the contest offensively (1.42 expected goals) compared to Monza's 0.68, while a draw remains a notable 27% possibility. With only a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score, this match could lean toward a tight, low-scoring affair; remember, these are statistical projections and always gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.68 – 1.42

Most likely score

0-1

16% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 35%

Under 65%

Both teams to score

Yes 39%

No 61%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Monza 0–2 Lazio
Nov 2022 Lazio 1–0 Monza