Spezia vs Salernitana Prediction

Serie A 22/23 · Sun 2 Apr, 15:00
Spezia
11 Full time
Salernitana
Spezia 1–1 Salernitana

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (41%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 41%
Draw 28%
Away 30%

💡 Spezia have a slight edge — leaning Spezia, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 44.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 44.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1418 v 1438 Salernitana rated higher
Form Index 1.0 v 1.2 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Spezia v Salernitana

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1418 vs 1438).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Salernitana
Form Index
Salernitana
Goal expectation
Spezia
Home advantage
Spezia

Green = favours Spezia · Blue = favours Salernitana. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SpeziaLDDWL1.0 ppg
SalernitanaLWDDD1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Spezia1418
Salernitana1438
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model46% · 28% · 27%
Power Rating44% · 23% · 34%
Machine-learning39% · 28% · 33%

AI match preview

Spezia host Salernitana in a Serie A clash where the home side holds a slight edge with a 41% chance of victory, according to model projections. Both teams are expected to find the net, with a 56% probability of BTTS and a closely matched expected goals tally suggesting a tight contest, most likely ending 1-1. Over 2.5 goals is slightly favored at 52%, but as always, these are statistical forecasts—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.59 – 1.17

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 52%

Under 48%

Both teams to score

Yes 56%

No 44%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Spezia 1–1 Salernitana
Oct 2022 Salernitana 1–0 Spezia