Empoli vs Lecce Prediction

Serie A 22/23 · Mon 3 Apr, 18:30
Empoli
10 Full time
Lecce
Empoli 1–0 Lecce

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Draw (31%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 37%
Draw 31%
Away 32%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 39.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 39.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1448 v 1444 Empoli rated higher
Form Index 0.2 v 0.6 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Empoli v Lecce

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1448 vs 1444).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Lecce
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Empoli

Green = favours Empoli · Blue = favours Lecce. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
EmpoliDLLLL0.2 ppg
LecceWLLLL0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Empoli1448
Lecce1444
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model30% · 38% · 32%
Power Rating48% · 21% · 32%
Machine-learning36% · 30% · 34%

AI match preview

Empoli and Lecce are set for a tightly contested Serie A clash, with the model giving a slight edge to a draw at 31%, reflecting a balanced matchup. Both teams are expected to produce low scoring, with anticipated goals around 0.82 and 0.86 respectively, making a 0-0 stalemate the most likely outcome. With only a 24% chance of over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score, this game could hinge on tight defenses; remember, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.82 – 0.86

Most likely score

0-0

20% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 24%

Under 76%

Both teams to score

Yes 34%

No 66%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Empoli 1–0 Lecce
Aug 2022 Lecce 1–1 Empoli