Lecce vs Napoli Prediction

Serie A 22/23 · Fri 7 Apr, 19:00
Lecce
12 Full time
Napoli
Lecce 1–2 Napoli

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (66%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 14%
Draw 21%
Away 66%

💡 Napoli are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore High · 78.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 78.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1435 v 1679 Napoli rated higher
Form Index 0.0 v 1.8 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Napoli is the stronger side on Power Rating (1679 vs 1435).
  • Napoli is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 0.0 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.3 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Napoli
Form Index
Napoli
Goal expectation
Napoli
Home advantage
Lecce

Green = favours Lecce · Blue = favours Napoli. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LecceLLLLL0.0 ppg
NapoliWLWWL1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Lecce1435
Napoli1679
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model6% · 17% · 77%
Power Rating23% · 12% · 65%
Machine-learning6% · 14% · 80%

AI match preview

Napoli heads to Lecce as strong favorites with a 66% chance of victory, backed by a model confidence of 78/100 and expected goals of 2.29 compared to Lecce’s 0.51. The most likely scoreline is a 2-0 away win, reflecting Napoli’s offensive edge and Lecce’s defensive challenges. With a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals but only 37% for both teams to score, this match leans toward a Napoli win with a modest goal tally; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.51 – 2.29

Most likely score

0-2

16% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 53%

Under 47%

Both teams to score

Yes 37%

No 63%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Lecce 1–2 Napoli
Aug 2022 Napoli 1–1 Lecce