Udinese vs Monza Prediction

Serie A 22/23 · Sat 8 Apr, 12:30
Udinese
22 Full time
Monza
Udinese 2–2 Monza

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (51%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 51%
Draw 26%
Away 23%

💡 Udinese are favourites — about 51 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 58.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 58.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1502 v 1470 Udinese rated higher
Form Index 1.6 v 1.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Udinese v Monza

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1502 vs 1470).
  • Udinese is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.9 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Udinese
Form Index
Udinese
Goal expectation
Udinese
Home advantage
Udinese

Green = favours Udinese · Blue = favours Monza. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
UdineseDDWWL1.6 ppg
MonzaLWDDL1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Udinese1502
Monza1470
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model55% · 25% · 20%
Power Rating52% · 18% · 30%
Machine-learning53% · 28% · 20%

AI match preview

Udinese host Monza in a Serie A clash where the model gives the home side a 51% chance of victory, reflecting a moderate edge in their favor. With expected goals at 1.87 for Udinese and 1.04 for Monza, the match could be tight, and a 1-1 draw is the most likely scoreline despite the home win preference. There is a 56% probability for both over 2.5 goals and both teams to score, suggesting an open game; remember these are statistical projections and please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.87 – 1.04

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 56%

Under 44%

Both teams to score

Yes 56%

No 44%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Udinese 2–2 Monza
Aug 2022 Monza 1–2 Udinese