Atalanta vs Bologna Prediction

Serie A 22/23 · Sat 8 Apr, 16:30
Atalanta
02 Full time
Bologna
Atalanta 0–2 Bologna

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (57%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 57%
Draw 23%
Away 20%

💡 Atalanta are favourites — about 57 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 67.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 67.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1556 v 1519 Atalanta rated higher
Form Index 1.4 v 1.6 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Atalanta v Bologna

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1556 vs 1519).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.4 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Atalanta
Form Index
Bologna
Goal expectation
Atalanta
Home advantage
Atalanta

Green = favours Atalanta · Blue = favours Bologna. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AtalantaLDLWW1.4 ppg
BolognaWLDDW1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Atalanta1556
Bologna1519
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model61% · 21% · 18%
Power Rating53% · 18% · 29%
Machine-learning55% · 26% · 19%

AI match preview

Atalanta are favored to win their Serie A clash against Bologna with a 57% probability, supported by an expected goals advantage of 2.42 to 1.30. The most likely outcome is a 2-1 victory for the home side, with a strong chance of both teams scoring and the match producing over 2.5 goals. These predictions are based on statistical models—please remember to gamble responsibly and only if you are 18 or older.

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.42 – 1.30

Most likely score

2-1

9% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 72%

Under 28%

Both teams to score

Yes 67%

No 33%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Gewiss Stadium Bergamo, Italy Capacity 24,950 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Atalanta 0–2 Bologna
Jan 2023 Bologna 1–2 Atalanta