Sampdoria vs Cremonese Prediction

Serie A 22/23 · Sat 8 Apr, 16:30
Sampdoria
23 Full time
Cremonese
Sampdoria 2–3 Cremonese

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (39%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 39%
Draw 29%
Away 32%

💡 Sampdoria have a slight edge — leaning Sampdoria, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 41.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 41.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1358 v 1356 Sampdoria rated higher
Form Index 0.8 v 0.8 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1358 vs 1356).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Cremonese
Home advantage
Sampdoria

Green = favours Sampdoria · Blue = favours Cremonese. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SampdoriaLDLWL0.8 ppg
CremoneseWLLDL0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Sampdoria1358
Cremonese1356
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model22% · 33% · 46%
Power Rating47% · 21% · 32%
Machine-learning36% · 32% · 32%

AI match preview

Sampdoria hosts Cremonese in a Serie A clash where the model gives a slight edge to the home side with a 39% chance of victory, though a draw or away win remain well within reach. Expected goals favor the visitors at 1.26 compared to Sampdoria's 0.79, and the most likely scoreline is a goalless draw, reflecting a potentially tight and low-scoring encounter. With only a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score, this match could hinge on narrow margins; remember, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.79 – 1.26

Most likely score

0-0

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 34%

Under 66%

Both teams to score

Yes 41%

No 59%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Sampdoria 2–3 Cremonese
Oct 2022 Cremonese 0–1 Sampdoria