Spezia vs Lazio Prediction

Serie A 22/23 · Fri 14 Apr, 20:45
Spezia
03 Full time
Lazio
Spezia 0–3 Lazio

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (59%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 18%
Draw 23%
Away 59%

💡 Lazio are favourites — about 59 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 69.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 69.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1422 v 1623 Lazio rated higher
Form Index 1.2 v 2.6 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Spezia v Lazio

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Why we predict this

  • Lazio is the stronger side on Power Rating (1623 vs 1422).
  • Lazio is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.7 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lazio
Form Index
Lazio
Goal expectation
Lazio
Home advantage
Spezia

Green = favours Spezia · Blue = favours Lazio. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SpeziaDWLDD1.2 ppg
LazioWDWWW2.6 ppg
Power Rating
Spezia1422
Lazio1623
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model10% · 25% · 65%
Power Rating27% · 15% · 59%
Machine-learning9% · 17% · 74%

AI match preview

Spezia faces a tough challenge at home against Lazio, with the model giving the visitors a 59% chance of securing the win. The expected goals suggest a low-scoring affair, likely ending 1-0 in favor of Lazio, while the probabilities for over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring remain relatively low. These projections are based on statistical models and should be considered thoughtfully; please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.53 – 1.72

Most likely score

0-1

17% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 39%

Under 61%

Both teams to score

Yes 35%

No 65%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Spezia 0–3 Lazio
Oct 2022 Lazio 4–0 Spezia