Bologna vs Milan Prediction

Serie A 22/23 · Sat 15 Apr, 15:00
Bologna
11 Full time
Milan
Bologna 1–1 Milan

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Draw (30%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 37%
Draw 30%
Away 33%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 38.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 38.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1540 v 1561 Milan rated higher
Form Index 1.6 v 1.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 0%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Bologna v Milan

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1540 vs 1561).
  • Bologna is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Milan
Form Index
Bologna
Goal expectation
Bologna
Home advantage
Bologna

Green = favours Bologna · Blue = favours Milan. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
BolognaLDDWW1.6 ppg
MilanLDLWD1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Bologna1540
Milan1561
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model44% · 32% · 24%
Power Rating43% · 23% · 34%
Machine-learning37% · 28% · 34%

AI match preview

Bologna and Milan are set for a closely contested Serie A clash, with the model giving Bologna a slight edge at 37% to win, though a draw is the most probable outcome at 30%. The expected goals suggest a tight game, with a 1-1 draw the most likely scoreline, reflecting balanced attacking potential from both sides. With only a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score, this match could hinge on a single moment; remember, these are statistical projections and please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.26 – 0.85

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 35%

Under 65%

Both teams to score

Yes 43%

No 57%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara Bologna, Italy Capacity 36,462 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Bologna 1–1 Milan
Aug 2022 Milan 2–0 Bologna