Salernitana vs Sassuolo Prediction

Serie A 22/23 · Sat 22 Apr, 15:00
Salernitana
30 Full time
Sassuolo
Salernitana 3–0 Sassuolo

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (40%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 33%
Draw 27%
Away 40%

💡 Sassuolo have a slight edge — leaning Sassuolo, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 42.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 42.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1444 v 1503 Sassuolo rated higher
Form Index 1.0 v 2.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Salernitana v Sassuolo

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Sassuolo is the stronger side on Power Rating (1503 vs 1444).
  • Sassuolo is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Sassuolo
Form Index
Sassuolo
Goal expectation
Salernitana
Home advantage
Salernitana

Green = favours Salernitana · Blue = favours Sassuolo. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SalernitanaDDDDD1.0 ppg
SassuoloWWDLW2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Salernitana1444
Sassuolo1503
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model41% · 26% · 33%
Power Rating38% · 26% · 36%
Machine-learning31% · 26% · 43%

AI match preview

Salernitana and Sassuolo are set for a closely contested Serie A clash, with the model slightly favoring an away win at 40% probability, though a draw remains a strong possibility. Expected goals are tight, at 1.70 for Salernitana and 1.50 for Sassuolo, suggesting a balanced encounter likely to produce goals, as reflected by a 65% chance both teams will score. With over 2.5 goals projected at 62%, fans can anticipate an engaging match, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.70 – 1.50

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 62%

Under 38%

Both teams to score

Yes 65%

No 35%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Salernitana 3–0 Sassuolo
Oct 2022 Sassuolo 5–0 Salernitana