Sampdoria vs Spezia Prediction

Serie A 22/23 · Sat 22 Apr, 20:45
Sampdoria
11 Full time
Spezia
Sampdoria 1–1 Spezia

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Draw (30%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 34%
Draw 30%
Away 36%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 36.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 36.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1350 v 1410 Spezia rated higher
Form Index 0.8 v 1 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Spezia is the stronger side on Power Rating (1410 vs 1350).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Spezia
Form Index
Spezia
Goal expectation
Spezia
Home advantage
Sampdoria

Green = favours Sampdoria · Blue = favours Spezia. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SampdoriaLWLLD0.8 ppg
SpeziaWLDDL1 ppg
Power Rating
Sampdoria1350
Spezia1410
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model29% · 37% · 34%
Power Rating37% · 27% · 36%
Machine-learning35% · 28% · 37%

AI match preview

Sampdoria and Spezia head into their Serie A clash with closely matched chances, as the model slightly favors an away win at 36%, while a draw sits at 30% with moderate confidence. Both sides are projected to struggle offensively, with expected goals under 1 each and a 0-0 scoreline the most likely outcome. With just a 25% chance of over 2.5 goals and BTTS at 35%, this match could be a tight, low-scoring affair—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.82 – 0.91

Most likely score

0-0

20% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 25%

Under 75%

Both teams to score

Yes 35%

No 65%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Sampdoria 1–1 Spezia
Sept 2022 Spezia 2–1 Sampdoria